Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002892 0.003023 0.003156 0.003301 0.003456 0.003617 0.003795
2025-02-16 0.002645 0.002842 0.003051 0.003288 0.003551 0.003834 0.004165
2025-02-23 0.002479 0.002713 0.002967 0.003263 0.003602 0.003979 0.004433
2025-03-02 0.002387 0.002652 0.002945 0.003296 0.003706 0.004175 0.004755
2025-03-09 0.002285 0.002569 0.002890 0.003280 0.003747 0.004292 0.004983
2025-03-16 0.002193 0.002492 0.002834 0.003257 0.003773 0.004386 0.005183
2025-03-23 0.002099 0.002407 0.002763 0.003211 0.003764 0.004435 0.005323
2025-03-30 0.002017 0.002332 0.002701 0.003170 0.003759 0.004484 0.005462
2025-04-06 0.001966 0.002291 0.002676 0.003173 0.003805 0.004596 0.005684
2025-04-13 0.001868 0.002190 0.002574 0.003074 0.003717 0.004533 0.005670
2025-04-20 0.001828 0.002158 0.002556 0.003079 0.003762 0.004640 0.005887
2025-04-27 0.001810 0.002153 0.002570 0.003126 0.003860 0.004821 0.006210
2025-05-04 0.001754 0.002098 0.002520 0.003088 0.003847 0.004853 0.006331
2025-05-11 0.001712 0.002060 0.002491 0.003076 0.003868 0.004932 0.006521
2025-05-18 0.001668 0.002018 0.002455 0.003054 0.003874 0.004988 0.006679
2025-05-25 0.001648 0.002007 0.002459 0.003084 0.003950 0.005145 0.006992
2025-06-01 0.001612 0.001973 0.002431 0.003070 0.003964 0.005213 0.007175
2025-06-08 0.001575 0.001936 0.002399 0.003049 0.003967 0.005266 0.007334
2025-06-15 0.001531 0.001890 0.002352 0.003006 0.003938 0.005269 0.007415
2025-06-22 0.001492 0.001849 0.002311 0.002969 0.003915 0.005279 0.007508
2025-06-29 0.001469 0.001829 0.002298 0.002971 0.003949 0.005375 0.007740
2025-07-06 0.001413 0.001763 0.002221 0.002881 0.003844 0.005258 0.007621
2025-07-13 0.001394 0.001747 0.002211 0.002886 0.003880 0.005354 0.007857